Independence Without a Referendum?
Who The Gods Would Destroy They First Send Mad
In Greek Mythology, King Sisyphus, noted for cruelty, avarice, craftiness and violating the rules of hospitality laid down by Zeus himself, was condemned to an eternity rolling a heavy boulder up a hill only to have it roll away from him as it neared the top.
Theresa May, on account of her lust for power, violation of the rules of hospitality towards EU citizens and other immigrants, and cruelty, through her policies to the sick, old and disabled, is condemned to push her deficient Brexit deal to the verge of parliamentary approval only to have it roll away at the last minute, bringing Independence closer.
Will Brexit Deliver Independence?
The more optimistic elements of the YES movement consider Brexit will deliver independence, but this is not certain. How many YES-Leavers will become NO voters after Brexit and the UK is out of the EU. How many NO-Remainers will become YES-Rejoiners rather than deciding to cling to the UK devil they know?
What If Brexit Is Cancelled?
If Brexit is cancelled, Independence will be delayed as most NO-Remainers swing back to NO, though the more intelligent or pessimistic may see a future Brexit as a real threat. It should be noted that both main parties officially supported leave and voted YES.
The current Brexit deadlock can end with May’s deal, No Deal or No Brexit. Everyone thinks a No Deal exit will deliver independence and May’s deal is less likely to deliver independence.
The best way to handle a cancelled Brexit is for Scotland, from the First Minister downwards, to gloat loudly and often that Scotland, and Scotland standing alone, stopped Brexit. This also means it stopped Westminster from closing Holyrood. The Brexiteers are waiting for another chance and Holyrood and Scotland’s membership of the EU can only be guaranteed with Independence. Until Independence, Scotland will guard England from the risk of a new Brexit.
This should swing many NO-Remain voters to YES-Remain voters. YES-Leave voters may well become YES hoping that they can persuade an Independent Scotland to leave the EU.
More importantly, it will galvanise English Leavers to campaign either for England to secede from the UK or for the dissolution of the Union.
UK Government Says It Cannot Dissolve The Union
Westminster claims it lacks the power to dissolve the Union, and that power lies solely with the people of Scotland.
The petition above to dissolve the Union was rejected. An earlier petition with the same demand was closed after only receiving 186 signatures. Why were the two petitions treated differently?
The reference to the People of Scotland does not mention the Scottish Parliament. perhaps because constitutional matters are reserved to Westminster, which would make nonsense of the claim the UK government cannot dissolve the Union.
The response does however say Scotland can leave the UK without Westminster permission or a referendum.
All in all, this is a strange response, and has given the YES movement a gift. Perhaps Westminster is becoming ready to lose Scotland. A recent shift in mainstream media attitudes to Scotland and Independence may be a sign of Westminster’s desire to see Scotland sail into the sunset.
The Tory party has a choice between Brexit and the UK. Most people in England don’t care whether Scotland stays or remains. Some in the Tory party and many other English, perhaps more every day, would like Scotland to leave in order to execute Brexit, or, if Brexit is cancelled, to try again without Scotland messing up the plan. English independence, for which there seems to be a growing demand, is one way Scotland can gain Independence, but federalism, the alternative path that might preserve the UK for a while, is politically unthinkable.