Which Democrat Has the Best Chance of Beating President Donald Trump?

Updated on April 8, 2019
EdwardLane profile image

Ed is a licensed attorney in North Texas who writes about government issues and politics.

Donald Trump Eyes Re-Election Bid

Trump and Biden Spar Early in 2020 Presidential Race

While President Donald Trump has been the subject of constant attacks since he entered the 2016 presidential race, Democrat Joe Biden has become the focus of criticism from several women as he nears the day he announces his candidacy for President in 2020.

Biden, considered by many the favorite to win the Democratic Party's nomination, is learning what it's like to be the center of attention in this political storm. As of today, at least seven women have stepped forward to accuse the former Vice-President of making them feel uncomfortable. Photographs have surfaced of him placing his hands on women. Several women have said he kissed them on their heads and smelled their perfume. Despite these recent attacks, Biden appears to be on course to announce his candidacy in the near future.

Trump Jokes About Biden

Trump was quick to go on the attack against his possible opponent as he posted a picture of Biden hugging himself. Biden responded to the barb with a sarcastic text message of his own referring to Trump being "presidential." Some feel Biden is the most serious threat to Trump because the Democrat is from Pennsylvania and could well flip that state to the Democrats in the electoral college. It was Trump's stunning upset win in that state which propelled him to victory in thee 2016 election.

Biden joked at a union meeting today that the man who introduced him had given him permission to hug him. He also said a child on the stage gave him permission to hug him.

While the jokes received laughter from the mainly male crowd, Biden was criticized later by observers who felt Biden wasn't taking the women's accusations seriously.

Can Bernie Sanders Defeat Biden and Trump?

Avowed Socialist Bernie Sanders has become a force to be reckoned with in the Democratic Party since he came within a nose of defeating Hillary Clinton for the 2016 nomination. Sanders has taken the party far to the Left in his role as a Socialist.

One drawback for Sanders may be bitter Hillary Clinton supporters who believe he cost her the election to Trump in 2016. He has filed as an Independent for Senator and as a Democrat for president.

Will Clinton supporters fight Bernie in the nomination process this year? Some of their antagonism toward him are based on the fact Sanders failure to run only as a Democrat confused many voters into thinking there isn't much difference between the Republican and Democratic parties. Therefore, many voters may have supported Trump.

Biden's Problems

Sanders may still be able to beat out Biden for two reasons. There is the belief among many Democratic women that Biden's "touching women scandal" will hurt their attack against Trump in the general election. A majority of Democratic Party members today are women.

Biden now has a second problem. News reports have surfaced he influenced the Ukrainian government to fire the prosecutor who was handling the investigation into allegations against his son. Did he steer millions of dollars toward the Ukraine while Vice-President to halt the investigation?

Why Is Barack Obama Not Endorsing his former Vice-President?

Many political observers have asked why former President Barack Obama has neither endorsed nor supported Biden's run? Biden was Obama's loyal vice-president for eight long years. Some have suggested it would be normal for the former president to lend his No.2 guy a helping hand. So far there have been no signs he will. An endorsement from Obama, who remains very influential in the party, would go a long way to lifting Biden to the nomination.

Can Beto O'Rourke Win the Presidency?

Texan Beto O'Rourke has hired one of Obama's top aides for his campaign. It's known the former U.S. Representative from El Paso has had a private meeting with Obama. That's a long way from an endorsement, but it could indicate Obama likes the man who gave Senator Ted Cruz a tough race for the Senate out of the Lone Star State.

It is believed Trump cannot win re-election without carrying Texas. Since O'Rourke is from Texas,he might have the best chance of any Democrat to flip this deeply Red State into a Blue State.

If O'Rourke could gain Obama's endorsement, he might surprise longtime party favorites such as Sanders and Biden and win the nomination. Claiming he is a capitalist rather than a socialist recently, O'Rourke would likely do better with mainstream American voters than Sanders. Biden also has never claimed to be a Socialist.

O'Rourke attracts crowds. He recently said on Twitter, "Let us be clear; we will not be defined by our fears or the smallnewss of our differences: we willinstead be known by our ambitions, our aspirations and the resolve, the creativity, the service and sacrifice by which we will have achieved them,"

Beto seems to suggest as Obama did, that once he was in power inequality trends would reverse. HIs language appears to be drawing large crowds.

Which Democrats Lead the Polls?

Despite his problems with women and the Ukraine scandal, Biden leads the polls with twenty-nine percent of voters who say they are likely in 2020 to vote in a Democratic primary say Biden is their favorite. That's not surprising as he starts the long campaign with greater name recognition than his opponents.

In second place is Sanders with twenty two per cent. His influence in the party shouldn't be underestimated this time. Alexandria O'Casio Carmen was an early disciple of Sanders in the Socialist wing of the party and will support him once again. With her platform, she could sway a lot of younger Democrats in his direction.

Kamela Harris is strong as a newcomer with 13 per cent. Harris has the advantage of being U.S. Senator from voter-rich California. If Biden continues to stumble, she could be in the thick of the hunt against Sanders.

Massachusetts Senator Elizabeth Warren lies in fourth place with 8 per cent. While many liberals begged her to run in 2016, she opted out, probably not wanting to run against Hillary. Some say her time has passed, but she is still within striking distance. Her disadvantage now is that she may no longer be liberal enough for the party of Sanders and Carmen.

Beto has parlayed his stump speech and strength in Texas to already garner 7 per cent which places him squarely in the race. His Texas roots help him. As others fall out of the race, he could move up.

Five per cent like New Jersey Senator Cory Booker. as their favorite while liberal Minnesota Amy Kobuchar claims 3 per cent.

New York's Kirsten Gillibrand A Serious Threat to Win?

New York Senator Kirsten Gillibrand is a serious threat simply by the fact she represents the powerful Empire State. Aged 52, she's married to venture capitalist Jonathan Gillibrand. Polls indicate Kamala Harris is the biggest threat. Of those who would be happy with the New Yorker, 75 per cent would be satisfied with the Californian.

Can Starbucks CEO Howard Schutz Defeat Trump?

Howard Schultz appeared on a Fox News Town Hall Meeting last night and seemed to indicate he'd be running as an Independent, although he's a lifelong Democrat. He said, "I didn't leave the Democratic Party, the Democratic Party left me." He'd be considerate a moderate if he ran as a Democrat. He said his experience at running Starbucks provide him with serious credentials to run the U.S.

He may have to overcome the anger of some people in his home state of Washington since he's blamed for allowing the Seattle Supersonics to become the Oklahoma City Thunder basketball team.

He's incurred the wrath of the Socialist wing by opposing the New Green Deal. As a practical matter if he does run it will probably have to be as an Independent.

Trump Jabs Schultz

The President attacked Schultz after the Town Hall performance, saying, "He doesn't have the guts to run for President! Watched him last night and I agree with him that he is not the "smartest person." Besides,America already has that! I only hope that Starbucks is still paying me their rent in Trump Tower!"

Trump Versus The Democrats

After emerging unscathed from the Mueller Report, Trump will be more difficult to beat than many Democrats thought. Those with the best chances might be Beto because of his Texas ties and Biden because of his connection to Pennsylvania. Sanders has a chance because of his strong base of youth and Carmen's immense influence in the House of Representatives. No one has mentioned Hillary Clinton in any polls, but it would never be wise to count her out of a Democratic Party race. It's a long time between now and the election.

Bernie Sanders Serious Threat To Trump

Bernie Sanders leads Socialist wing of Democratic Party.
Bernie Sanders leads Socialist wing of Democratic Party.

Alexandria O'Casio Carmen Potent Ally for Bernie Sanders

Twenty nine year old Carmen may help Bernie Sanders win nomination.
Twenty nine year old Carmen may help Bernie Sanders win nomination.

Questions & Answers

    Comments

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      • profile image

        bradmasteroccal 

        5 days ago

        "Buttigieg"

        Never heard of this name.

        Good luck with this one!

      • RuthCoffee profile image

        Ruth Coffee 

        5 days ago from Zionsville, Indiana

        I know Buttigieg (boot-edge-edge) just announced yesterday, but I've watched him for a while. He's calm, intelligent, knows how to work with those who oppose him, understands minorities well, etc. Thus far he has not wasted his time merely bashing the current president but has made his opinions known. I hope more people discover him in the coming weeks. Even at this early stage, most polls show him running third behind Sanders (who few Independents will vote for) and Biden.

      • bradmasterOCcal profile image

        Brad Masters 

        13 days ago from Orange County California BSIT BSL JD

        As for who can't beat Trump, only the one person that can win the DNC primary. So until you figure that one, what is the pointZ?

      • bradmasterOCcal profile image

        Brad Masters 

        13 days ago from Orange County California BSIT BSL JD

        "Trump Versus The Democrats

        After emerging unscathed from the Mueller Report, Trump will be more difficult to beat than many Democrats thought. Those with the best chances might be Beto because of his Texas ties and Biden because of his connection to Pennsylvania. Sanders has a chance because of his strong base of youth and Carmen's immense influence in the House of Representatives. No one has mentioned Hillary Clinton in any polls, but it would never be wise to count her out of a Democratic Party race. It's a long time between now and the election.

        "

        Seriously, he folded like a cheap table and even though he could have won the primary at the rate he was winning states he dropped out. That is not what makes a president.

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