I've been a freelance writer focusing on movies, hiking, stamps, volleyball, and politics.
Then and Now
In the 2016 Presidential election, the Democratic Party had divisions. First, Bernie Sanders gained a large following and momentum among the people the longer the primaries went on. By the end, he was likely more appealing than Clinton and all her e-mail baggage. But, she had built such a large delegate lead that there wasn't any turning back from her.
As the Trump Campaign successfully sowed doubt about her in the minds of voters (with much help from Russia), they were able to depress many voters who had supported Barack Obama and sneak out enough votes in the midwest to win.
Add to that, many Americans were unhappy with the status quo of a dysfunctional government and were open to trying something different than another Bush or Clinton. An outsider was definitely something different.
This time around, it's a different story.
In 2020, what we're seeing is a large group of Republicans waking up to the fact that Donald Trump is just not capable of leading the United States of America. There are large sections of the party that are going public with their reservations about his fitness for the highest office in the land.
The first group of organized Republicans to take a stand against Trump has been the Lincoln Project, which puts out some very persuasive advertisements highlighting Trump's failures (see below).
While the Lincoln Project targets Trump for their ads, hoping to get a negative reaction from him, a second group, Republican Voters Against Trump, aims to hear from disillusioned members of the GOP that plan to vote for Joe Biden in 2020.
There are some very compelling explanations in their videos, as well as them going into detail with how many elections they voted for Republicans prior to flipping to Biden this time around. Chris, an Ohio farmer, lays out his case for supporting Biden pretty well in the video below.
Recently, during the Republican National Convention, we heard from another group of disaffected conservatives. This time, it was former members of the government—from people who used to work in the Trump Administration to former staff members of Mitt Romney, George Bush, and John McCain's campaigns, to former GOP Congressmen, Congresswomen, and Governors.
By the end of the Convention, ABC News reported that the unprecedented number of former Republican members of government speaking out about Trump's lack of fitness for the presidency had ballooned to well over 500 people.
Another way Biden is able to chip away at Trump is with those who see religion as an issue. Biden is clearly devout in his religion while Trump seems more transactional, with voters able to connect with Biden more than they were with Clinton and that is having a noted effect on this race.
An early September 2020 online survey, which was commissioned by the left-leaning group Vote Common Good, predicts an 11 percentage point swing toward Biden among evangelicals and Catholics who backed Trump in 2016, based on input from both demographics across five major 2020 battleground states: Florida, Michigan, North Carolina, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin.
Other polls have captured similar gains in Biden’s religious support, including an August survey by Fox News that showed the former vice president at 28 percent support among white evangelicals—up 12 percentage points from 2016 exit polls for the Democratic nominee (source).
Lastly, in another unusual public rebuke of a president, you have a host of military leaders speaking out about Trump's inability to govern the United States in a way befitting the Oval Office.
Former Defense Secretary Jim Mattis notes how Trump '. . . is the first President in my lifetime who does not try to unite the American people—does not even pretend to try. Instead, he tries to divide us.'
Former Chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, Admiral Mike Mullen on Trump:
"Whatever Trump's goal in conducting his visit (to St. John's Church), he laid bare his disdain for the rights of peaceful protest in this country, gave succor to the leaders of other countries who take comfort in our domestic strife, and risked further politicizing the men and women of our armed forces."
Retired Navy Admiral William McRaven also took issue with Trump's use of military force on peaceful protesters:
"You're not going to use, whether it is the military or the National Guard or law enforcement, to clear peaceful American citizens for the president of the United States to do a photo op. There is nothing morally right about that."
As 60% of America disapproves of the job Trump is doing as president, he will need a unified base to have the same kind of electoral advantage. On average, over the course of his first term, 87% of Republicans approve of the job he has done while only getting 6% approval from Democrats.
This partisan gap is the largest in history and goes to the point that Trump loses more support from his own party than he gains from Democrats, by a difference of seven percent. Even 14% of Republicans approved of the job Obama did, by comparison.
Even more damaging for Trump, Newsweek reports that the latest Rasmussen/RMG Research poll, one that always slants towards conservatives, finds that only 84% of Republicans approve of the job Trump is doing. His support has consistently fallen as the Covid-19 pandemic has gotten worse in the country.
As the photo above illustrates, it's really just the Trump family and some top sycophants who are willing to stand up in America and try and paint a false picture of a successful presidency. One where the unemployment rate has gone from 4.2% to 10.2%, 180,000 Americans have died, and the standing of the United States is openly mocked internationally.
Trump's malignant narcissism, which will be highlighted in an upcoming documentary, has been a big reason that he is unable to manage a pandemic that has led America into the worst depression since the Great Depression.
He lacks the empathy to listen to the black community as multiple instances of police violence have gripped America in the past months. And he's unleashed the country's military on peaceful protesters in Washington, D.C., and on mothers standing up for Black Lives Matter in Portland.
All of that before hearing from the Senate how the Trump Campaign in 2016 did coordinate with Russian Intelligence to win the presidency.
These crises and the open dishonesty from 2016 have laid bare for the American public to see, all the reasons why many Trump voters think Joe Biden will be a much better leader for our country.
This content reflects the personal opinions of the author. It is accurate and true to the best of the author’s knowledge and should not be substituted for impartial fact or advice in legal, political, or personal matters.