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Defections Will Plague the GOP This Time Around

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In the 2016 Presidential election, the Democratic Party had divisions. First, Bernie Sanders gained a large following and momentum among the people the longer the primaries went. By the end, he was likely more appealing than Clinton and all her e-mail baggage. But, she had built such a large delegate lead that there wasn't any turning back from her.

As the Trump Campaign successfully sowed doubt about her in the minds of voters (with much help from Russia), they were able to depress many voters who had supported Barack Obama and sneak out enough votes in the midwest to win.

Add to that, many Americans were unhappy with the status quo of a dysfunctional government and were open to trying something different than another Bush or Clinton. An outsider was definitely something different.

This time around, it's a different story.

defections-will-plague-the-gop-this-time-around

In 2020, what we're seeing is a large group of Republicans waking up to the fact that Donald Trump is just not capable of leading the United States of America. There are large sections of the party that are going public with their reservations about his fitness for the highest office in the land.

The first group of organized Republicans to take a stand against Trump has been the Lincoln Project, which puts out some very persuasive advertisements highlighting Trump's failures (see below).

While the Lincoln Project targets Trump for their ads, hoping to get a negative reaction from him, a second group, Republican Voters Against Trump, aims to hear from disillusioned members of the GOP that plan to vote for Joe Biden in 2020.

There are some very compelling explanations in their videos, as well as them going into detail with how many elections they voted for Republicans prior to flipping to Biden this time around. Chris, an Ohio farmer, lays out his case for supporting Biden pretty well in the video below.

Recently, during the Republican National Convention, we heard from another group of disaffected conservatives. This time, it was former members of the government - from people who used to work in the Trump Administration, to former staff members of Mitt Romney, George Bush and John McCain's campaigns, to former GOP Congressmen, Congresswomen, and Governors.

By the end of the Convention, ABC News reported that the unprecedented number of former Republican members of government speaking out about Trump lack of fitness for the presidency had ballooned to well over 500 people.

Another way Biden is able to chip away at Trump is with those who see religion as an issue. Biden is clearly devout in his religion while Trump seems more transactional, with voters able to connect with Biden more than Clinton's and that is having a noted effect on this race.

A early September 2020 online survey, which was commissioned by the left-leaning group Vote Common Good, predicts an 11 percentage point swing toward Biden among evangelicals and Catholics who backed Trump in 2016, based on input from both demographics across five major 2020 battleground states: Florida, Michigan, North Carolina, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin.

Other polls have captured similar gains in Biden’s religious support, including an August survey by Fox News that showed the former vice president at 28 percent support among white evangelicals — up 12 percentage points from 2016 exit polls for the Democratic nominee (source).

defections-will-plague-the-gop-this-time-around

Lastly, in another unusual public rebuke of a president, you have a host of military leaders speaking out about Trump's inability to govern the United States in a way befitting the Oval Office.

Former Defense Secretary Jim Mattis notes how Trump '...is the first President in my lifetime who does not try to unite the American people - does not even pretend to try. Instead, he tries to divide us.'

Former Chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, Admiral Mike Mullen on Trump: Whatever Trump's goal in conducting his visit (to St. John's Church), he laid bare his disdain for the rights of peaceful protest in this country, gave succor to the leaders of other countries who take comfort in our domestic strife, and risked further politicizing the men and women of our armed forces.

Retired Navy Admiral William McRaven also took issue with Trump's use of military force on peaceful protesters: You're not going to use, whether it is the military or the National Guard or law enforcement, to clear peaceful American citizens for the president of the United States to do a photo op. There is nothing morally right about that.

defections-will-plague-the-gop-this-time-around

As 60% of America disapproves of the job Trump is doing as president, he will need a unified base to have the same kind of electoral advantage. On average, over the course of his first term, 87% of Republicans approve of the job he has done while only getting 6% approval from Democrats.

This partisan gap is the largest in history and goes to the point that Trump loses more support from his own party than he gains from Democrats, by a difference of seven percent. Even 14% of Republicans approved of the job Obama did, by comparison.

Even more damaging for Trump, Newsweek reports that the latest Rasmussen/RMG Research poll, one that always slants towards conservatives, finds that only 84% of Republicans approve of the job Trump is doing. His support has consistently fallen as the Covid-19 Pandemic has gotten worse in the country.

defections-will-plague-the-gop-this-time-around

As the photo above illustrates, it's really just the Trump family and some top sycophants who are willing to stand up in America and try and paint a false picture of a successful presidency. One where the unemployment rate has gone from 4.2% to 10.2%, 180,000 Americans have died, and the standing of the United States is openly mocked internationally.

Trump's malignant narcissism, which will be highlighted in an upcoming documentary, has been a big reason that he is unable to manage a pandemic that has led America into the worst depression since the Great Depression.

He lacks the empathy to listen to the black community as multiple instances of police violence have gripped America in the past months. And he's unleashed the country's military on peaceful protesters in Washington, D.C. and on mothers standing up for Black Lives Matter in Portland.

All of that before hearing from the Senate how the Trump Campaign in 2016 did coordinate with Russian Intelligence to win the presidency.

These crises and the open dishonesty from 2016 have laid bare for the American public to see, all the reasons why many Trump voters think Joe Biden will be a much better leader for our country.

This content reflects the personal opinions of the author. It is accurate and true to the best of the author’s knowledge and should not be substituted for impartial fact or advice in legal, political, or personal matters.

Comments

JOC (author) from Syracuse, NY on September 02, 2020:

Biden campaign raises a record $364 million in August. People are behind Joe and clearly know Trump needs to go. The previous record was $193 million...by Obama. So he didn't just set it, he crushed it.

Sharlee on August 29, 2020:

You won --- not falling into defending the President. There just is no need to in my opinion he's done a great job and will be voting for him once again.

JOC (author) from Syracuse, NY on August 29, 2020:

Congrats on trying to shift the topic a bit. I was talking about how safe people feel in their own communities (62% aren't concerned about violence) and you added that 54% (100% minus 46%) aren't concerned about rising crime in their own communities. Not exactly the same question since my stat talked about violence while yours was about rising crime in general, hence the slight differences (62% to 54%).

Then you wanted to talk about something different in discussing large cities and about how concerned people were with rising crime in large cities (77%). And I noted that crime is actually down 5.3% in those cities this year. So that people's concern might just be reflected by Trump's angry false rhetoric and not the actual data.

Yes, Trump has been concerned with tear gassing mothers standing up for Black Lives and shooting peaceful protesters with rubber bullets so he can get a photo op at a church. Portland did not ask for his help and when he sent his secret army in, it escalated a situation that the city believe it had under control. Kenosha accepted his assistance as it doesn't see those kinds of protests often.

And that's a blatant lie that Biden has not condemned the riots and violence prior to two days ago. Not something I'm surprised about since you are horrible at doing research before making stupid statements like that one.

https://americanmilitarynews.com/2020/06/biden-pra...

Sharlee on August 29, 2020:

Your stats ".most Americans aren’t particularly concerned about violence in their own communities, with 62 percent saying they are “not very worried” or “not worried at all.”

My stats --"Seventy-seven percent of respondents say they are concerned that crime is rising in the nation’s cities, while 46 percent of respondents said they were concerned about rising crime in their own communities"

Note the words in your comment ---" aren't particularly concerned"

And compare the words in my comment -- "respondents say they are concerned" 75% citizens are concerned over the over rising crime versus your 62% are not concerned with rising crime.

That's why I asked for your reference. The percents are widely apart as are the opinions.

President Trump has shown concern from the very first protest that turned into a riot, and has shown daily concern and offered help to each and every Governor to bring some peace to their cities. Biden made no mention of the unrest until two days ago.

JOC (author) from Syracuse, NY on August 29, 2020:

And the poll you quoted basically says the same thing I noted. My stats say that 62% are not concerned about violence in their own communities. Your stat basically says 54% are not concerned with rising crime (more inclusive than just violence) in their communities. Not sure what there would be to question.

And crime rates are actually down 5.3% this year. So while people may have a concern, that's likely more based on Trump's ugly rhetoric than actual factual data.

JOC (author) from Syracuse, NY on August 29, 2020:

Why? We all have seen how you just attack any source that does not support your own conclusions. It would be a waste of time. Plus, you can likely find it if you search for it on your own.

Sharlee on August 29, 2020:

I would appreciate a resource where you got your stats.

"A majority of Americans say they are concerned about rising crime in U.S. cities, according to a new Harvard CAPS/Harris poll released exclusively to The Hill on Monday.

Seventy-seven percent of respondents say they are concerned that crime is rising in the nation’s cities, while 46 percent of respondents said they were concerned about rising crime in their own communities"

https://thehill.com/homenews/campaign/509185-major...

JOC (author) from Syracuse, NY on August 29, 2020:

Going to be hard for Trump to win when...

...most Americans aren’t particularly concerned about violence in their own communities, with 62 percent saying they are “not very worried” or “not worried at all.” In fact, a majority of Americans (52 percent) think a second Trump term will lead to more violence of the sort seen in Kenosha. Only a quarter think Trump’s reelection will lead to less violence. Asked which comes closest to their view, just 27 percent say “Trump will protect us from the chaos.” A plurality (46 percent) say “Trump is the source of the chaos.” Those numbers have not changed over the last month.

JOC (author) from Syracuse, NY on August 29, 2020:

I'll let you write your own article of the groups, such as walkaway, that are there to support Democrats crossing over to the Republican side.

I don't really see many 'wonderful historic accomplishments.' I see a historically impeached man who broke multiple laws to get elected, lied about his campaign coordinating with a hostile foreign government, and then obstructed the investigation into that action. To me, those actions are treasonous.

Compound that with his hindrance and incompetent failures to take the correct actions pertaining to Covid-19, and his complete ignorance of how to handle race-relations in this country, and I can easily see why so many in the GOP are jumping ship.

We all know you to be a passionate Kool-Aid drinker and devoted Trump cultist who sees little faults in the man. One can only hope you're the the vast minority come November.

Sharlee on August 29, 2020:

I hope to celebrate on Nov 4th. I see no way the Dems can win. However, one never should say never...

Your article is totally one-sided, you have not mentioned anyone of Trump's wonderful historic accomplishments or the fact that he has helped so many American's in one way or another. This makes your article appear very bias, very one-sided. It would perhaps only appeal to someone closed-minded. As a conservative, I would have enjoyed reading an article that gives both sides of the story. However, I respect your right to offer your opinion.

JOC (author) from Syracuse, NY on August 28, 2020:

Military leaders not just speaking out, but explaining Trump's incompetence. And good luck explaining away the people that did the videos for Republican Voters Against Trump. Those used to be members of his base. And farm voters are down 14% in recent polling, many across the midwest where Trump needs Wisconsin and Michigan to have a shot.

Ken Burgess from Florida on August 28, 2020:

Former Military Leaders speak out against Trump.

That is a big positive for anyone not in favor of war or the Military Industrial Complex.

Former corrupt Republican politicians denouncing him.

That is another big positive, as they never had the interests of the working class citizens in mind.

You can tell a lot about where a politician really stands on the issues by the people who openly oppose him.

JOC (author) from Syracuse, NY on August 27, 2020:

People have been walking away from that base is sort of the point of this article. He's at an all-time low among Republicans on his job approval, likely because he cannot solve a pandemic due to his narcissism forcing him to try and be the focal point, when the specialists should be making key decisions.

Just this week, people witnessed his FDA misrepresent data about plasma treatments and their effectiveness. Then tonight, 1,500 people, most unmasked and set up with zero regard to social distancing guidelines, further display Trump's disregard for rules. All this at the White House, in violation of using government resources for campaigns. Trump spits in the face of rules and regulations when it suits him, then tries to claim he's the law and order guy. What a joke. People see the self-dealing - they aren't blind.

MG Singh emge from Singapore on August 27, 2020:

If that happens then Trump may be in trouble but he has his voter base, so..? everything is not cut and dried.

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